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Tuesday, February 05, 2008

JDV had just been Obama'd


Last night the calls for "Change!" reverberated throughout the walls of Bastusang Pambansa. I thought the bribes were not enough they were even asking for coins. But no, it was the vote for declaring loss-of-confidence over the five-time Speaker, Jose De Venecia, Jr. Just like many times before, the thieves-in-the-night worked while the people were sleeping. This time, they stole his chair. JDV had just been Obama'd.

The conspirators probably never thought it would lead to this. JDV was never expected to bitch against their queen! Did they miscalculate the situation? As it now stands, JDV has manifested to tell more in the coming days. That's one big headache.

JDV is not known for being a warrior. He is more of a peacemaker, usually going all out to build consensus, striking compromises favorable to all sides. A backdoor negotiator. And last night it was his backdoor that got screwed. Big time.

But take a final stand against Gloria? I don’t think so.

Whatever aces he has up his sleeves will be played by the next guy he passes it to. And the Arroyos are determined to punish him some more. And by hitting JDV, it would be impossible not to hurt the puppet-master on whose lap this dummy sits on. FVR will be a an unavoidable corollary target once the Pig of a family begins the all-out offensive.

But FVR and his boys are all prepared. Even he saw it coming ever since the ZTE investigations took center stage it would be foolish to assume they will all just take it sitting down. Carague has been in COA for the longest time, I guess, clearing all tracks FVR and company may have left behind in such deals as Fort Bonifacio sale, Napocor-IPP contracts, Centennial Expo, PEA-Amari, the numerous privatization deals, among many. While doing so, he may have also digged enough dirt to bury the Arroyos alive.

And there’s Edong Ermita who’s finally getting shorted by Puno very very soon, Ermita holds as much “state secrets” in his Malacañang closet than any one’s ever seen. You then have all these AFP generals who are indebted to Tabako and his subalterns. And many many other FVR boys still well-entrenched and for so long may have gathered enough artillery in their arsenal to see this war through.

FVR’s legacy, and the strings that hold all his puppets together - the Lakas party - will be dangerously threatened by Kampi’s freshly-sharpened scissors he can’t risk being jettisoned to oblivion. I don’t see any political future for the likes of Lakas stalwarts Bunye, Apostol, Alvarez, etc. unless, of course, they start shedding their chameleon scales and begin their exodus toward the new forest and join the other beasts where the foliage is greener (or haven’t they, already?). Kampi will be the new Billionaire Boys’ Club.

Though I’m not convinced Lakas as a whole, or whatever remains of it, will confront the palace by the murky river head-on the way JDV did last night based on those may-I-explain-my-vote speeches, JDV die-hards are on a war path, their lips still bitter from the taste of the latest conspiracy. They have nothing more to lose - they have sacrificed their committee positions and the perks that go with those by professing “principled” loyalty for JDV - but they can choose to settle the score by making life difficult for the traitors and their principals. This will make the coming days very very exciting.

JDV may not be the most credible in his gang, but if you have more acceptable people confirming and substantiating his charges, maybe, just maybe, the moral revolution may indeed take off.

Ex-Speaker JDV has removed his finger plugging the small hole in the dike. Will the dam come crumbling down?


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12 Comments:

At 1:44 PM, February 05, 2008, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Let them fight. We will watch.

 
At 3:37 PM, February 05, 2008, Anonymous Mike said...

FVR? I thought GMA neutralized him long ago.

 
At 9:09 PM, February 05, 2008, Anonymous J said...

Brilliant analysis.

I wonder if FVR will still be in a position to harm Gloria though.

I wonder too if JdV would be credible enough.

I further wonder if JdV's Lakas minions are really loyal to him.

I'm inclined to think that GMA badly miscalculated in ousting JdV. But I can't really be sure. Gloria has the penchant for surprising people.

Nice blog!

 
At 6:54 AM, February 06, 2008, Blogger Tongue's Wrath said...

Mike,
It looked like she did. But look around her, it's his men just the same. In many aspects, it's still him holding her hostage. JDV may be a knight sacrifice to immobilize the queen.

Like anonymous above you said, we will watch. The game ain't over till the short lady sings.

(Welcome to the blog!)

 
At 7:27 AM, February 06, 2008, Blogger Tongue's Wrath said...

j,
Thanks for the compliments. On FVR, I've told Mike here how FVR still holds strings. Unless that is cut soon, his "collectors" may come knocking all at the same time. COA's Carague is now poised to be replaced by Pabling Garcia, Ermita obviously lost the tussle with Ronnie Puno and is also being eased out soon, he was temporarirly exiled to the US while Puno showed him the ropes immediately after the Manila Pen incident, so was Esperon, that time ordered to "visit" Malaysia as Puno was rounding up the Magdalos, the journalists and civil society. Bunye has hinted about getting out of Malacañang ang getting appointed to the Monetary Board, and so on.

JDV's credibility won't matter in this dirty game, like Enrile in 1986 or Singson in 2001. Filipinos read the message first before shooting the messenger, if at all. As for his loyal followers, he doesn't need them all. A few credible ones coming out with incriminating evidence, as we hope they'd do is all that is needed. Even without JDV. In fact this has been a war of proxies all along: FVR-JDV-JDV3 vs. Gloria-Mike-Mikey-Dato-Iggy. The first shot fired by JDV3 triggered the war.

On Gloria's miscalculation, well, does she friggin' even care if she did? She will just order a bombing here, or a bigger scandal there, then decree another martial law avatar (same form, different name) and the faggots hide their tails between their legs.

Nah, she doesn't surprise me at all.

(Welcome to the blog!)

 
At 3:09 PM, February 06, 2008, Anonymous J said...

You are good at connecting the dots, and I am enlightened. Many thanks!

 
At 11:27 PM, February 07, 2008, Anonymous GMLet said...

tongue,

tagal mong walang post ah! akala ko iniwan mo na ang blog mo. kinakabahan ako sa medals of horror mo, sana wag maging horror para sa bayan at sa mga inosente ang mga recent events.
at yung analysis mo, parang chess, hehe, para kang GM.

 
At 4:49 AM, February 08, 2008, Blogger Tongue's Wrath said...

GMLet
I was quite busy during the holidays and I took an early vacation (Hah, a vacation by someone who does not work!) last month I couldn't come up with any post worth reading, though I had written lengthy ones in some bloggers' not mine.

Except for the US recession, the issues of late bore me.

BTW, are you a real GM or at least a GM-wannabe?

 
At 1:06 AM, February 11, 2008, Anonymous GMLet said...

tongue,
wannabe lang, hehe, a member of 1987 NCAA chess champion MIT. but my 3 sons got scholarships because they are chessplayers. hindi ko kasi kayang magtuition, tinuruan kong mag chess. my youngest, aged 10, is on athletic scholarship at LSGH, where jun lozada took refuge.
GM move di ba? no money for schooling, teach them chess, hehe!
what about lozada, still boring?

 
At 5:36 AM, February 12, 2008, Blogger Tongue's Wrath said...

Lozada, boring? Of course not. I just made one post on him and Neri.

That move (scholarship thru chess) is brilliancy. You opened the flanks for maneuverability and better control of the future moves. I'm happy for you.

 
At 10:35 AM, February 16, 2008, Blogger MBW said...

Ok, learned a lot Tongue! Thanks.

 
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